Master of Science in Environmental Science, Youngstown State University, 2022, Department of Physics, Astronomy, Geology and Environmental Sciences
Anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gases, especially carbon dioxide, have been associated with rising global temperatures. These changes have led to desertification, heat waves, ecosystem disruption, intensification of severe weather, and loss of agricultural productivity. To mitigate against these adverse effects, carbon sequestration approaches such as afforestation and reforestation are being explored in landscapes, including urban ecosystems.
The amount of forest cover and carbon storage was evaluated for the Youngstown Metropolitan Area (YMA), located in northeast Ohio. Four urbanized sub-watersheds of the Mahoning River within the YMA were chosen. The amount of forest cover for each sub-watershed for the years 2001 and 2019 was determined using ArcGIS Pro and a 50- year land cover projection was generated using the TerrSet software. Results indicate that YMA lost approximately 40ha (5,330ha to 5,290ha) of forest cover between 2001 and 2019, while developed areas gained 200ha (from 18,400ha to 18,600ha) between the same period.
While the Dry Run Creek is the only sub-watershed in the study area with an increased forest area (from 1,420ha in 2001 to 1,460ha in 2019), the Crab Creek sub watershed registered the highest decrease (from 1,760ha to 1,720ha) during the same period. Currently, the area under forest cover in the Crab Creek sub-watershed is the largest (1,720ha or 17.2km2 ), storing approximately 60,700t of carbon. On the other hand, the Andersons Run-Mill Creek sub-watershed has the lowest forest area 524ha (5.24km2 ), sequestering up to 18,500t of carbon. By 2069, the area under forest cover in Crab Creek is predicted to decrease by 70ha (from 1,720ha in 2019 to 1,650ha in 2069), while iv developed land area would increase by 90ha (from 3,350ha in 2019 to 3,440ha in 2069). Although 90.3% of Andersons Run-Mill Creek sub-watershed is expected to be developed by 2069, forest cover is predicted to occupy 6.9% of its landscape.
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Committee: Peter Kimosop PhD (Advisor); Felicia Armstrong PhD (Committee Member); Colleen McLean PhD (Committee Member); Lauren Schroeder PhD (Committee Member)
Subjects: Environmental Studies; Forestry; Gases; Geographic Information Science