Master of Science, The Ohio State University, 2023, Food, Agricultural and Biological Engineering
The proliferation of harmful algal blooms (HABs) in Ohio and worldwide has posed serious threats to aquatic and human health—a transdisciplinary issue hard to tackle without integrating tools from across disciplines and sectors. Satellite remote sensing is recognized as a useful technology to map, monitor, and predict HABs. However, the effective use of satellite images is hindered by many practical and technical factors, which include but are not limited to the complex nature of satellite data, the uncertainties associated with satellite data processing, inadequate product validation, and misconception of data quality, among others. This study leverages environmental data alongside a suite of satellite data, including Sentinel-3A OLCI, Sentinel-2, and Landsat-8, to identify patterns and potential drivers of HAB. Specifically, to explore the diverse nature of HAB and environmental data, we use multiple machine learning techniques, including Random Forest, Support Vector Regression, and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), each complemented with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) models. Based on the Random Forest (RF) model curated for each of the four HAB proxies, Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a), Phycocyanin, Microcystin, and Secchi Depth, Chl-a showed better optical sensitivity with R2 = 0.55 and RMSE = 20.84 µg/L while the sensitivity of Phycocyanin, Microcystin, and Secchi depth to spectral bands were less pronounced. When the variability in Chl-a concentration was explored using XGB, including various combinations of spectral information alongside physicochemical and meteorological variables, Chl-a was better explained by physicochemical variables such as phosphorous and spectral band indices with R2 = 0.69 and RMSE = 9.06 µg/L. A majority of meteorological variables, such as precipitation, wind direction, and solar radiation, were found less effective in explaining variability in Chl-a, indicating the need to explore their potential lagged response. Based on 12 models de (open full item for complete abstract)
Committee: Sami Khanal (Advisor); Jongmin Park (Committee Member); Kaiguang Zhao (Committee Member)
Subjects: Agriculture; Geographic Information Science