Master of Sciences (Engineering), Case Western Reserve University, 2023, Biomedical Engineering
Recent studies have highlighted the pathophysiological significance of epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) in the development of heart failure (HF). Using EAT image features (hereafter fat-omics) extracted from low-cost (no-cost at our institution) CT calcium score (CTCS) images, we predicted HF onset. We segmented EAT using a modified version of our deep learning algorithm, DeepFat, edited cases for accuracy, and collected 87 hand-crafted features (fat-omics) including volume, spatial, thickness, and HU values, as elevated HU is thought to be an indicator of inflammation. We included readily available clinical and demographic features (e.g. age, sex, and BMI). We used a dataset of HF-enriched patients (N=1,988, HF: 5.13%) and a Cox model with stepwise feature reduction, trained on 80% and evaluated with 20% held-out testing. High risk features (e.g., mean EAT thickness, EAT mean HU, and smoking) were identified using univariate analyses. Fat-omics, clinical and demographic features predicted HF with C-index/2-year AUC of 72.7/71.8, respectively. For comparison, different models using BMI, EAT volume, pericardial sac volume and a combined set of clinical and demographic features gave training/testing C-index values of 59.7/58.8, 60.0/59.8, 61.0/59.2 and 68.6/67.5, respectively. Additionally, we evaluated the calcification Agatston score, which is used to predict atherosclerosis-related major adverse cardiac events. It yielded training/testing of 62.7/62.9. Fat-omics, clinical and demographic features also gave excellent stratification of patients into low- and high-risk groups using Kaplan-Meier plots with a net reclassification improvement (NRI) of 0.11 (p-value=0.024) as compared to EAT Volume alone. Our results demonstrate that EAT plus simple clinical and demographic features might be used to predicting HF onset.
Committee: David Wilson (Committee Chair); Juhwan Lee (Committee Member); Shuo Li (Committee Member)
Subjects: Biomedical Engineering; Health Care Management; Statistics