Master of Science, University of Toledo, 2017, Civil Engineering
In the United States, aging of the transportation infrastructures increased the need of M&R activities significantly. Further, as the consequence of economic and population growth, increasing travel demand accelerated the rate of deterioration along with the congestion and poor safety. At most of the highway agencies, budget allocation decisions are often based on the historical proportions or empirical relations. However, the public awareness and involvement in the sustainable development demand the accountability of such decision- making. Compounded with the budget constraints and rise in the highway improvement costs, highway agencies have a need of efficient and most cost-effective decision-making. Thus, development of a data-driven tool as a senior decision support system is essential for short-term as well as long-term planning, specifically, in a limited available resource scenario such as of now.
This thesis presents the development and implementation of a trade-off analysis tool in Transportation Asset Management (TAM). The tool is capable of budget allocation and optimal treatment policy determination, based on the budget versus asset performance plots. For a given budget level, the corresponding performance of the asset network is determined using the linear programming optimization with the objective of average network condition maximization. The optimization model essentially consists of an asset deterioration model. The deterioration rates are predicted based on the historical condition data using the Markov model. At the network level, the macroscopic model is adopted where each decision variables represents a specific proportion of the asset network. For each decision variable, future condition prediction models are developed. An annual budget scenario can be analyzed with the flexibility to vary the treatment unit costs, allowable treatments, treatment average life, the budget allocation between asset types, and the span of the analysis period.
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Committee: Eddie Chou Dr. (Committee Chair); Liangbo Hu Dr. (Committee Member); Habib Kaake Dr. (Committee Member)
Subjects: Civil Engineering